Current Variant āProportions and Modeling Estimates
Percent prevalence of variants circulating in California are listed in the table below. Of total cases sequenced in February 2025, 33.1% were XEC, a recombinant of KS.1.1 (JN.1.13.1.1.1) and KP.3.3 (JN.1.11.1.3.3), 23.7% were KP.3.1.1 (JN.1.11.1.3.1.1) , and 22.7% were LP.8.1 (KP.1.1.3.8.1). LA testing data are available for dates up to 3/11/25. For dates 3/11/25 and beyond, LA data are not included in case metrics, as they are currently unavailable.
Parent | JN.1.11.1 | KP.1.1 | JN.1.11.1 | JN.1.11.1 | KP.3.1.1 | KP.3.1.1 | JN.1.16 | JN.1.13 x KP.3 |
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Dec 2024 | 2.3% | 9.2% | 3.4% | 27.4% | 6.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 34.0% |
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Jan 2025 | 0.7% | 13.0% | 2.2% | 15.3% | 5.2% | 9.7% | 3.8% | 35.3% |
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Feb 2025 | 2.2% | 22.7% | 1.7% | 9.4% | 4.4% | 9.9% | 5.5% | 33.1% |
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Since there is a known delay in the availability of sequencing results, CDPH CalCAT model provides estimates of variant proportions for the most recent weeks. Models are updated biweekly on Fridays. Based on CDPH model estimates, LP.8.1 is predicted to be the variant with the highest and fastest growing proportion.